每週再平衡報告(Phase A POC)— 2026-03-27
Universe
- 美股:S&P 500(503 檔)
- 台股:49 檔(來源:universe/tw_watchlist.txt 或 universe/0050.csv)
策略(baseline:動能 Top-N + 每週再平衡)
- 再平衡:每週(W-FRI),報告產出時間:每週五 22:00(Asia/Taipei)
- 台股:0050 universe → 6M 動能 Top 20(等權)
- 美股:S&P500 universe → 6M 動能 Top 50(等權)
- 動能視窗:126 交易日
- 成本假設:台股 turnover * 0.50%(保守),美股 turnover * 0.10%(暫定)
本週換股(vs 上次產出)
- 美股:新增 9、移除 9
- 新增:LITE, COHR, VRT, FCX, SATS, BMY, BIIB, OXY, TGT
- 移除:INTC, WBD, JNJ, PSX, LMT, NEE, EIX, ALGN, EQT
- 台股:新增 1、移除 1
回測摘要(每週再平衡,含成本)
| 市場 |
CAGR |
Vol |
Sharpe |
MaxDD |
| 美股(Top 50) |
89.81% |
25.92% |
2.61 |
-9.78% |
| 台股(Top 20) |
134.36% |
27.94% |
3.36 |
-10.22% |
美股候選(Top 50,6M momentum)
| Ticker |
6M Return |
| SNDK |
559.89% |
| LITE |
347.17% |
| CIEN |
190.09% |
| WDC |
159.70% |
| MU |
130.00% |
| COHR |
128.99% |
| TER |
123.86% |
| MRNA |
114.59% |
| ALB |
113.89% |
| DOW |
84.14% |
| APA |
83.74% |
| VRT |
79.81% |
| FIX |
76.03% |
| STX |
74.86% |
| GLW |
73.70% |
| AMAT |
71.34% |
| TPL |
68.58% |
| LRCX |
66.60% |
| LYB |
65.46% |
| BG |
63.65% |
| HAL |
63.45% |
| KEYS |
62.23% |
| MRK |
56.95% |
| FCX |
56.79% |
| CTRA |
55.03% |
| SLB |
54.79% |
| JBHT |
54.63% |
| SATS |
54.12% |
| CAT |
50.92% |
| AKAM |
50.65% |
| CF |
50.07% |
| TRGP |
48.02% |
| FDX |
47.96% |
| XOM |
47.70% |
| DD |
47.56% |
| DVN |
46.62% |
| VLO |
44.75% |
| ROST |
42.99% |
| VTRS |
42.99% |
| FANG |
41.52% |
| GEV |
41.28% |
| HII |
41.19% |
| COP |
40.97% |
| BMY |
40.28% |
| CAH |
39.75% |
| BIIB |
39.75% |
| OXY |
39.75% |
| TGT |
38.83% |
| PWR |
38.16% |
| KLAC |
37.84% |
台股候選(Top 20,6M momentum)
| Stock ID |
中文名 |
6M Return |
| 2408 |
南亞科 |
282.40% |
| 3037 |
欣興 |
249.48% |
| 2360 |
致茂 |
182.84% |
| 3711 |
日月光投控 |
111.68% |
| 1303 |
南亞 |
97.08% |
| 2308 |
台達電 |
80.41% |
| 3653 |
健策 |
74.89% |
| 2327 |
國巨 |
71.62% |
| 3665 |
貿聯-KY |
69.09% |
| 1326 |
台化 |
53.11% |
| 2345 |
智邦 |
49.77% |
| 2330 |
台積電 |
44.44% |
| 2303 |
聯電 |
40.46% |
| 2887 |
台新新光金 |
39.02% |
| 2885 |
元大金 |
30.92% |
| 2883 |
凱基金 |
29.74% |
| 2890 |
永豐金 |
25.79% |
| 1301 |
台塑 |
24.40% |
| 2891 |
中信金 |
23.83% |
| 2880 |
華南金 |
13.56% |
備註:這是第一版 POC,先把『資料→選股→報告』跑通;下一步會把策略固定規格化(持股數、權重、成本假設)、做完整回測報表,最後再導入 Qlib/RD-Agent 做因子與模型迭代。