Polymarket 熱門 10 則（2026-03-30）
總覽
- 取樣時間：2026-03-30 16:10 CST
- 排序依據：Gamma API 的 volume24hr（24h 交易量）由高到低
- 指標解讀：Yes 價格 ≈ 隱含機率（僅作快速閱讀，不代表真實機率）
Top 10（依 24h 交易量）
| # | 市場（question） | Yes | 24h 交易量 | 連結 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.15% | $7405343 | link |
| 2 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | 0.25% | $5348142 | link |
| 3 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | 7.05% | $5212924 | link |
| 4 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | 0.05% | $2855207 | link |
| 5 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | 0.35% | $2418541 | link |
| 6 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | 0.05% | $2361905 | link |
| 7 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 69.5% | $2130727 | link |
| 8 | Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.35% | $1865530 | link |
| 9 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | 1.25% | $1363580 | link |
| 10 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 3.85% | $1073510 | link |
精選留言（站內：提及類市場 / Mentions）
（抓 Polymarket『提及』頁面目前前幾個互動市場，當作 Twitter/社群風向的替代觀測點；若你要真・X 貼文，我會改成用 X API/搜尋來源，但 Brave Search 目前有速率限制。）
| 市場 | 狀態/時間 | 交易量（頁面） | 熱門詞（頁面顯示） | 連結 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will Trump say in March? | Tue, 11:00 PM | $158,731 | Big Fat Cat / N Word / +30 | https://polymarket.com/zh/event/what-will-trump-say-in-march |
| What will Trump say this week? (April 5) | Mon, 7:00 AM | （未顯示） | Sunday / Jerusalem / +20 | https://polymarket.com/zh/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-april-5 |
| What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5) | Mon, 7:00 AM | （未顯示） | Keir / Starmer / Ceasefire / +23 | https://polymarket.com/zh/event/what-will-trump-post-this-week-march-30-april-5 |
| What will Trump say in April? | Fri, 7:00 AM | $13,174 | N Word / Reverse Migration / +39 | https://polymarket.com/zh/event/what-will-trump-say-in-april |
| NCAA锦标赛：Rothstein “This is March”推文数量 | TBD | $27,455 | 不超过40次 / 41–50 / +4 | https://polymarket.com/zh/event/ncaa-tournament-number-of-rothstein-this-is-march-tweets-166 |
連結彙總
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — https://polymarket.com/market/will-curaao-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup
- Netanyahu out by March 31? — https://polymarket.com/market/netanyahu-out-by-march-31-854
- US forces enter Iran by March 31? — https://polymarket.com/market/us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519
- Will Trump visit China by March 31? — https://polymarket.com/market/will-trump-visit-china-by-march-31
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? — https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-march-31
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? — https://polymarket.com/market/elon-musk-of-tweets-march-27-april-3-80-99
- US forces enter Iran by April 30? — https://polymarket.com/market/us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — https://polymarket.com/market/will-ghana-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? — https://polymarket.com/market/us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-march-31
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? — https://polymarket.com/market/will-jesus-christ-return-before-2027
來源
- Polymarket Gamma API（市場清單）：https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets
- 本報告抓取參數：active=true&closed=false&limit=10&order=volume24hr&ascending=false
- Polymarket Mentions（提及類市場）：https://polymarket.com/zh/mentions