Polymarket 熱門 10 則（24h Volume）

日期：2026-03-27（Asia/Taipei 16:00 例行）

總覽

說明：以 Polymarket Gamma API GET /markets 依 volume24hr 排序，取前 10。價格為 implied probability（outcomePrices）。

Top 10（依 24h 交易量）

精選留言（各事件依 reactionCount 排序取前 1–3 則）

#1 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

• 市場：https://polymarket.com/market/us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-march-31
  • (19 reactions) 0x50c6…cc4f: Trump every Monday : " We have a deal " Trump every Friday : " I will use nuke to destroy Iran"
  • (15 reactions) 0x0aae…95c6: JEWS ARE THE ENEMY OF ALL MAN KIND. DO NOT FORGET IT WAS THE JEW THAT STARTED THIS WAY
  • (9 reactions) 0x1118…3822: Iran and Hamas started Oct 7, and the Palestinians have denied every peace deal since 1948. Anyway, keep coping
  • (0 reactions) 0x3362…a87a: It was Sauron. You have all been deceived.
  • (2 reactions) 0xcee2…257f: It takes a real loser to hit 30k profit and then lose it in a day :) lol. you are kinda retarded huh :)
  • (14 reactions) 0x8f96…fb92: Iran’s Parliament Speaker, Ghalibaf: “We are absolutely NOT seeking a ceasefire. We believe the aggressor must be struck in the mouth so that it learns a lesson and never again even thinks of attacking dear Iran. The…

#2 US forces enter Iran by March 31?

• 市場：https://polymarket.com/market/us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519
  • (20 reactions) 0x2720…8a23: can we have a market for April and a market for June please?
  • (19 reactions) 0x18e2…6315: Top holder on the No side lost 5M betting against the US/Isreal strike on Iran guess he didn't learn his lesson.
  • (19 reactions) 0x8f4b…8572: What is this new rule? Half of my thesis is pilots being shot down. This follows original rules, but now suddenly it is out. Polymarket should not change material rules when market is already live. Is very crazy. Make…
  • (0 reactions) 0x68f6…e7ce: Really? i thought that was a joke. I really didn't think that would count cuz it was too cheap lol
  • (0 reactions) 0xec38…4bce: I don't think they're overflying, are they?
  • (0 reactions) 0x8f4b…8572: Why say "active US military personnel" when you mean just "ground soldiers"?
  • (0 reactions) 0xec38…4bce: (but, my general sympathy, yes, this is BS)
  • (0 reactions) 0x4b97…4d2b: You got doomed my friend.
  • (1 reactions) 0x68f6…e7ce: I feel they may have taken my joke seriously about someone getting lost and wander into iran lol
  • (1 reactions) 0x8f4b…8572: What happen if Search & Rescue pick up pilot? Do the Search & Rescue soldiers count? Under new rule still count... but maybe Polymarket change again?
  • (2 reactions) 0x4b97…4d2b: You have doomed us all.
  • (0 reactions) 0xa1fa…65f5: They are overflying. There have been near misses on Israeli jets and Bahrain is right next to Iran.
  • (0 reactions) 0xec38…4bce: Anti-air missiles can cross borders. Bahrain is across the Gulf from Iran. If you are shot down over Bahrain you are as far from Iran as New York is from Philadelphia.
  • (0 reactions) 0xa1fa…65f5: Kuwait not Bahrain.
  • (0 reactions) 0xa1fa…65f5: And they are overflying Iranian airspace
  • (0 reactions) 0xb708…c8ca: Wtf is that rule change
  • (0 reactions) 0x77c1…d28a: i didn’t see any rule change
  • (0 reactions) 0x4b97…4d2b: Pilots crashing doesnt count.
  • (0 reactions) 0x1d6a…5970: Because they clearly have no legal background or exposure to an industry where words matter.

#3 Netanyahu out by March 31?

• 市場：https://polymarket.com/market/netanyahu-out-by-march-31-854
  • (0 reactions) 0x6316…893f: it's my bday todayyy 🎂🥺 anyone??
  • (0 reactions) 0x6316…893f: it's literally my birthday todayy 🥺🎂 anyone??
  • (0 reactions) 0x6316…893f: The sheer volume here shows that traders are betting against Netanyahu's resilience; however, the March 31 outcome seems overly optimistic given his current grip on power and the political landscape. Expect a more…

#4 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

• 市場：https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-march-31
  • (0 reactions) 0x6316…893f: it's my bday and i'm on polymarket lmaoo 🥺 anyone?
  • (0 reactions) 0x50d5…8c84: @CoinDesk: WATCH: @RasterlyRock of @Bitwise on Iran, risk appetite and Bitcoin. "Our general view is that we're going to see the conflict ease sooner rather than later, that investors are going to turn risk on."

#5 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

• 市場：https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-april-2026-meeting
  • (0 reactions) 0x50d5…8c84: @TheBlockCo: Bitcoin hovers below key 'air gap' as geopolitical risks and Fed outlook cloud direction
  • (0 reactions) 0x50d5…8c84: COINTELEGRAPH: Staff Writer Staff Editor Past oil-war shocks lifted inflation and hurt risk appetite, which raises the risk of Bitcoin falling below $50,000 in 2026. Market Analysis Cointelegraph in your social feed…
  • (0 reactions) 0x50d5…8c84: MARKETWATCH: The uptick in borrowing costs can be traced to higher bond yields since the Iran conflict began in late February, but also to the large financing needs of the AI buildout

#6 Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

• 市場：https://polymarket.com/market/will-jordan-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-233
  • (8 reactions) 0x98c8…c474: Why can't I bet on Croatia?
  • (7 reactions) 0xada5…d846: England in top 3 is hilarious
  • (7 reactions) 0x1eb1…d4b3: people really thinking england is one of the 2 top candidates might be confusing this with cricket or rugby. we're talking football, the one with the round ball that you kick around.

#8 Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

• 市場：https://polymarket.com/market/elon-musk-of-tweets-march-27-april-3-20-39
  • (0 reactions) 0x6316…893f: it's my bday todayyy 🥺 anyone?

#9 Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

• 市場：https://polymarket.com/market/will-movement-for-a-better-hungary-jobbik-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-hungarian-parliamentary-election
  • (32 reactions) 0xcbc0…e02e: For the love of god let Tisza win and finally get rid of the moronic EU Veto right
  • (10 reactions) 0xa55c…8016: New poll from 21K: Tisza 53 (-), Fidesz 37 (+1) No change since December, 2 months to go
  • (9 reactions) 0x8c11…f7de: Please take all my money Gypsy Viktor, I only have change left, but your friends need it more, so they can continue with their luxury lifestyle.
  • (0 reactions) 0x8b12…abb4: Nagyon jó

連結

• Polymarket：https://polymarket.com/

• Gamma API /markets（volume24hr 排序）：https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&archived=false&limit=30&offset=0&order=volume24hr&ascending=false

• Gamma API /comments（範例）：https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments?parent_entity_type=Event&parent_entity_id=<event_id>&order=reactionCount&ascending=false

來源

• Polymarket Gamma API（markets / comments）