Polymarket 熱門 10 則（2026-03-16）
資料時間：2026-03-16 16:01（Asia/Taipei） 資料來源：Gamma Markets API（order=volume24hr, limit=10）
總覽
- Top10 24h 交易量合計：$33.86M
- 覆蓋市場：10
Top 10（依 24h 交易量）
- Netanyahu out by March 31?
- Yes 機率：2.9%
- 24h 交易量：$9.08M｜總量：$17.17M｜流動性：$1.92M
- 到期/結算日：2026-12-31
- 連結：https://polymarket.com/market/netanyahu-out-by-march-31-854
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- Yes 機率：0.1%
- 24h 交易量：$5.72M｜總量：$153.97M｜流動性：$8.68M
- 到期/結算日：2026-03-18
- 連結：https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-march-2026-meeting
- Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- Yes 機率：0.1%
- 24h 交易量：$4.67M｜總量：$8.80M｜流動性：$33.49K
- 到期/結算日：2026-04-12
- 連結：https://polymarket.com/market/will-lmp-hungarys-green-party-lmp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-hungarian-parliamentary-election
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- Yes 機率：99.6%
- 24h 交易量：$3.62M｜總量：$62.82M｜流動性：$1.35M
- 到期/結算日：2026-03-18
- 連結：https://polymarket.com/market/will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-march-2026-meeting
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
- Yes 機率：99.8%
- 24h 交易量：$2.32M｜總量：$12.40M｜流動性：$1.81M
- 連結：https://polymarket.com/market/will-iran-strike-israel-on-march-10
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- Yes 機率：0.4%
- 24h 交易量：$2.30M｜總量：$56.76M｜流動性：$439.91K
- 到期/結算日：2026-03-18
- 連結：https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-march-2026-meeting
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- Yes 機率：3.1%
- 24h 交易量：$1.75M｜總量：$34.47M｜流動性：$1.67M
- 到期/結算日：2026-03-31
- 連結：https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-march-31
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- Yes 機率：0.1%
- 24h 交易量：$1.69M｜總量：$13.14M｜流動性：$1.22M
- 到期/結算日：2026-07-20
- 連結：https://polymarket.com/market/will-saudi-arabia-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup
- Iran leadership change by March 13?
- Yes 機率：0.1%
- 24h 交易量：$1.46M｜總量：$4.90M｜流動性：$861.80K
- 到期/結算日：2026-12-31
- 連結：https://polymarket.com/market/iran-leadership-change-by-march-13
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- Yes 機率：0.5%
- 24h 交易量：$1.26M｜總量：$12.10M｜流動性：$391.74K
- 到期/結算日：2026-07-01
- 連結：https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-atlanta-hawks-win-the-2026-nba-finals
精選留言 / 討論摘錄（外部公開來源）
註：本次因 X(Twitter) 搜尋結果可用性不穩定，以下改摘錄可公開抓到的新聞/社群頁面標題與摘要作為『市場熱度脈絡』，非投資建議。
- Hindustan Times：How Yair Netanyahu’s Twitter activity sparked viral rumors about father Benjamin Netanyahu（March 2026）
- NDTV：Iran vows to pursue, kill Netanyahu amid death rumours（March 2026）
- BBC：'Gruesome' war bets fuel calls for Kalshi Polymarket crackdown（March 2026）