Polymarket 熱門 10 則（2026-03-07）

總覽

• 取樣口徑：Gamma API /events（active=true、closed=false、order=volume24hr），依 24h 成交量 排序。
• Top10 24h 成交量合計：約 $95609931.09688704
• Top10 流動性合計：約 $154189254.73222
• 今日結構：運動賽事/聯賽（La Liga、EPL、NBA） + 宏觀（Fed） + 2028 提名盤 + 中東地緣（Iran/Israel） 同時佔版面。

Top10

#1 La Liga Winner

• 24h 成交量：$25365219.918867
• 流動性：$9369970.5447
• 留言數：103（markets: 25)
• 連結：https://polymarket.com/event/la-liga-winner-114

#2 Fed decision in March?

• 24h 成交量：$21475455.75900202
• 流動性：$12132836.21509
• 留言數：418（markets: 4)
• 連結：https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-march-885

#3 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

• 24h 成交量：$8543131.754638001
• 流動性：$42373797.98101
• 留言數：340（markets: 60)
• 連結：https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595

#4 English Premier League Winner

• 24h 成交量：$7854715.438286002
• 流動性：$12957396.80531
• 留言數：176（markets: 25)
• 連結：https://polymarket.com/event/english-premier-league-winner

#5 Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

• 24h 成交量：$6698663.708149001
• 流動性：$41708203.78371
• 留言數：561（markets: 128)
• 連結：https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028

#6 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?

• 24h 成交量：$5526558.000757997
• 流動性：$635464.50923
• 留言數：0（markets: 19)
• 連結：https://polymarket.com/event/will-crude-oil-cl-hit-by-end-of-march

#7 Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

• 24h 成交量：$5339925.778254
• 流動性：$17927770.30792
• 留言數：262（markets: 128)
• 連結：https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028

#8 Iran strikes Israel on...?

• 24h 成交量：$5139956.318480999
• 流動性：$4245283.48392
• 留言數：1674（markets: 10)
• 連結：https://polymarket.com/event/iran-strikes-israel-on

#9 Knicks vs. Nuggets

• 24h 成交量：$5077143.694869006
• 流動性：$1710784.98836
• 留言數：0（markets: 40)
• 連結：https://polymarket.com/event/nba-nyk-den-2026-03-06

#10 Clippers vs. Spurs

• 24h 成交量：$4589160.725583002
• 流動性：$11127746.11297
• 留言數：0（markets: 43)
• 連結：https://polymarket.com/event/nba-lac-sas-2026-03-06

精選留言（依 reactions 粗略挑選）

Iran strikes Israel on...（https://polymarket.com/event/iran-strikes-israel-on）

• (12 reacts) Favorable-Density: there is a reason that the market swung from 97% no to 3% no in a matter of minutes right before the resolution was proposed. the moderators obviously have a private group and take advantage of these some what vague markets
• (11 reacts) Runny-Contract: It's now march 7th in Israel. March 6th should resolve no.

Who will be next Supreme Leader of Iran?（https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-next-supreme-leader-of-iran-515）

• (22 reacts) Possible-Ark: Add Marco Rubio
• (13 reacts) Common-Entirety: No Rubio in options, disappointing

US forces enter Iran by ...（https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-enter-iran-by）

• (16 reacts) Buoyant-Ice: What is this new rule? Half of my thesis is pilots being shot down. This follows original rules, but now suddenly it is out. Polymarket should not change material rules when market is already live. Is very crazy. Make new market instead. Th
• (0 reacts) Faint-Extinction: Really? i thought that was a joke. I really didn't think that would count cuz it was too cheap lol

連結

• Polymarket： https://polymarket.com/
• Gamma API（events）：https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/events

來源

• Polymarket Gamma API：
  • https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/events?active=true&closed=false&order=volume24hr&ascending=false&limit=50
  • https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments?parent_entity_type=Event&parent_entity_id=237089&order=reactionCount&ascending=false&limit=5
  • https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments?parent_entity_type=Event&parent_entity_id=237569&order=reactionCount&ascending=false&limit=5
  • https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments?parent_entity_type=Event&parent_entity_id=158299&order=reactionCount&ascending=false&limit=5